New poll shows Southwest Virginia is expected to support Trump less in 2020 than in 2016

Trump won Southwest Virginia by 37% in 2016, in 2020, this poll has his lead only at 10%

LEFT: Joe Biden delivers his acceptance speech on the fourth night of the Democratic National Convention from the Chase Center on August 20, 2020 in Wilmington, Delaware. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images) RIGHT: U.S. President Donald Trump comes out from the residence prior to a Marine One departure from the South Lawn of the White House July 31, 2020 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images) (2020 Getty Images)

ROANOKE, Va. – If the election were held today, Joe Biden would claim Virginia’s 13 electoral college votes.

That’s according to a Roanoke College poll published Wednesday, which states the former vice president holds a 14-point lead over President Donald Trump among likely voters in Virginia.

Among those polled, only 5% said they were undecided about their candidate.

While Biden leads in Virginia as a whole, when taking a regional look at the state, not everyone is backing the Biden/Harris ticket.

RegionTrumpBidenLeader
Southwest Virginia54%44%+10% Trump
Southside39%50%+11% Biden
Shenandoah Valley63%22%+41% Trump
Central/Richmond38%51%+13% Biden
Northern Virginia26%67%+41% Biden
Tidewater44%50%+6% Biden

Looking back to 2016, Hillary Clinton gathered 5.3% more of the vote than Trump to win the state.

Using the same regions as above, here’s a look at how 2016′s presidential votes looked in Virginia.

RegionTrumpClintonWinner
Southwest Virginia69%31%+37% Trump
Southside62%38%+23% Trump
Shenandoah Valley66%34%+32% Trump
Central/Richmond46%54%+8% Clinton
Northern Virginia34%66%+32% Clinton
Tidewater47%53%+6% Clinton

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