Quiet to start the weekend, but heat could provide fuel for Sunday storms

Many of us stay dry Saturday, but another front drives more storms in by Sunday afternoon

Saturday forecast
Saturday forecast (WSLS)

ROANOKE, Va. – Weather conditions have calmed this Saturday morning, as the front that caused severe storms Friday is now to our east.

We’ll heat up from the 60s and 70s in the morning to the 80s and 90s once again this afternoon. We have lots of sunshine in our forecast and any isolated storms that do develop are likely to stay in the mountains. I believe the Roanoke Valley, Lynchburg and Southside stay completely dry today.

Will I see storms later today?
Will I see storms later today? (WSLS)

Storm chances increase by Sunday afternoon as another front approaches the region. Any storms that form will have the opportunity to strengthen in the unstable, hot and humid air.

Future Tracker Sunday 4 p.m.
Future Tracker Sunday 4 p.m. (WSLS)

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed areas along and west of the Blue Ridge under a level 1 (”marginal”) severe weather risk Sunday. We’re watching damaging wind gusts as the primary threat, just as they were on Friday.

Sunday's severe risk
Sunday's severe risk (WSLS)

After that front, the heat will really skyrocket and become an even bigger weather story. We’re in the low 90s Monday and Tuesday, but the mid 90s will be possible Wednesday as the upper level ridge sets up over the eastern United States. For perspective, our average high is in the upper 80s in July.

5 day temperature trend
5 day temperature trend (WSLS)

We could go even hotter in the longer term as the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has our area under a 70% chance of above-average temperatures from July 16th to the 20th. Early model data is hinting at the upper 90s, but when you factor in the humidity, we’ll likely see “feels like” temperatures reach the triple digits.

6-10 day temperature outlook
6-10 day temperature outlook (WSLS)

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