Spring temperatures leading up to slowly-increasing rain, storm chances

Cool mornings and warm(ish) afternoons precede increasing rain and storm chances

Rainfall forecast through next week

ROANOKE, Va. – It is a very chilly start to our Thursday, thanks to high pressure overhead. That will lead to clear skies and a calm afternoon. Temperatures will have the opportunity to rise more than they did Wednesday afternoon.

Most of the area will peak between 65 and 70°, which is still almost 10° below average for this time of year.

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High temperature forecast for Thursday, 5/13/2021

We’ll be chilly once again by Friday morning, with temperatures starting generally between 40 and 45°. Outside of a stray shower Friday, we’ll stay dry through at least Saturday.

We have some ground to make up as we’re roughly 2-3″ below normal for the entire spring.

Rainfall deficit for the spring of 2021

As a warm front extends eastward later in the weekend, we expect some showers to develop along it Sunday afternoon.

What we're tracking - Sunday, May 16th, 2021

Therefore, we expect Sunday afternoon to be cooler than Saturday afternoon with more clouds in place.

Weekend forecast for 5/15 and 5/16/2021

With this warm front still close by Monday and Tuesday, periods of showers and storms may still continue.

What we're tracking by May 18th, 2021

High pressure will strengthen over the eastern U.S., leading to warmer and drier weather for the second half of next week.


About the Author

Meteorologist Chris Michaels is an American Meteorological Society (AMS) Certified Broadcaster, forecasting weather conditions in southwest Virginia on WSLS 10 News from 5 a.m. to 7 a.m. weekdays on Virginia Today.

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