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A+ weather Thursday; heat, few storms return Father’s Day weekend

Heat and some storms return before the remnants of a tropical system early next week

A+ weather for Thursday afternoon
A+ weather for Thursday afternoon

ROANOKE, Va. – It’s Thursday morning, June 17th, and it feels more like early October. You won’t need the A/C running in the car first thing in the morning, but you may during the afternoon.

Temperatures start in the 40s and 50s, but sunshine and low humidity will help give us a boost into the 70s and 80s once again in the afternoon.

High temperature forecast for Thursday, June 17th, 2021

While we drop into the low to mid 50s once again overnight, a downsloping wind Friday afternoon will quickly change that. When the wind comes down the mountains, the air compresses, heats up and stays dry.

Downsloping to heat things up for us Friday afternoon

Therefore, we expect high temperatures in the upper 80s and lower 90s across much of the area Friday afternoon.

High temperature forecast for Friday, June 18th, 2021

This will make for a perfect pool day! Just remember the sunscreen.

It’s at this point, however, that we will likely have our next tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center has placed high odds on that storm developing, with Air Force Hurricane Hunters flying into the storm Thursday afternoon.

Odds of tropical development as of 3 a.m., Thursday, June 17th, 2021

Some moisture from that storm may make its way this far north during the weekend. The main catalyst for any hit-or-miss storms Saturday, however, will be a front to our north. Saturday will be hot, so any hit-or-miss storm that does form may pack a punch.

FutureTracker - Saturday afternoon

That same front may also trigger a few slow-moving afternoon storms on Father’s Day.

Father's Day planner - 2021

It’s not until late Sunday night and Monday morning that we could see more of a direct impact from this tropical system.

Tracking the remnants of a tropical system - Father's Day and Monday

If it rides the Appalachians, we see more widespread rain (possible flooding). If it rides a little farther east, then that threat becomes less widespread. Make sure you keep checking back for updates by downloading our weather app.


About the Author:

Meteorologist Chris Michaels is an American Meteorological Society (AMS) Certified Broadcaster, forecasting weather conditions in southwest Virginia on WSLS 10 News from 5 a.m. to 7 a.m. weekdays on Virginia Today.