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Rain from Elsa arrives for some today; typical summer pattern beyond

Elsa could produce localized flooding in Southside through Thursday afternoon

Elsa's timeline - Thursday, 7/8/2021
Elsa's timeline - Thursday, 7/8/2021

ROANOKE, Va. – Elsa made landfall along the northern Gulf Coast of Florida Wednesday morning as a tropical storm. Since then, it’s moved quickly through Georgia and South Carolina. Thursday, it will move through central North Carolina and eastern Virginia.

While the center of the storm may be positioned a bit east of us, the rain around it will move through our area.

We expect isolated tropical downpours in the morning, but the bulk of the rain moves in for the eastern half of our area between 11 a.m. and 5 p.m.

FutureTracker - Elsa midday Thursday

You can see how the more torrential rain favors areas like Southside, as Elsa continues to be pushed east. This is also where we may see wind gusts in excess of 30 mph during the afternoon.

FutureTracker - Elsa Thursday afternoon

By suppertime, most of the area is dry and/or left with hit-or-miss downpours unrelated to Elsa.

Rain totals will be on the order of 1-2″+ in Southside, but decreasing the farther west that you go. That’s why a Flash Flood Watch is in effect Thursday for Southside.

Projected rain totals from Elsa - Thursday, 7/8/2021

The same front that guides Elsa east Thursday may trigger a few showers and storms west of the Parkway Friday. Otherwise, a very typical summer pattern unfolds for the weekend.

High pressure to the east and low pressure to the west will continue the flow of warm and humid air through Monday.

What we're tracking - 7/11/2021

With a front nearby, the chance for storms will be slightly higher Sunday than Saturday.

Forecast for the weekend of 7/10 and 7/11/2021

After Monday, high pressure becomes the dominant feature. This means temperatures will rise more - into the upper 80s and lower 90s - and that storm chances will mainly be confined to the higher elevations.


About the Author:

Meteorologist Chris Michaels is an American Meteorological Society (AMS) Certified Broadcaster, forecasting weather conditions in southwest Virginia on WSLS 10 News from 5 a.m. to 7 a.m. weekdays on Virginia Today.