Changes! Tracking a pair of cold fronts within the next few days

The second in a sequence of cold fronts will be the biggest difference-maker in our weather

ROANOKE, Va. – ‘Tis the season for cold fronts, and we’ll be sent a pair of them within a span of 4-5 days.

Wednesday is the pre-front day, when clouds increase. Temperatures rise from the 40s in the morning to the 60s and 70s by the afternoon.

High temperature forecast for Wednesday, 10/12/2022

Rain showers (and rumbles of thunder) move south to north overnight into Thursday morning.

FutureTracker - midnight Wednesday heading into Thursday

Some of us will have to dodge some periods of rain during the morning commute Thursday.

FutureTracker - Thursday morning around 7

By the afternoon, a wind coming down the slopes will choke out most of the moisture in the New River Valley, Roanoke Valley and Highlands.

That leaves us with one last gasp of scattered showers and storms around Lynchburg and Southside between 2 and 6 p.m.

FutureTracker - Thursday afternoon around 3

We’ll briefly turn cooler behind this front, leaving us with lows in the 30s and 40s Friday and Saturday mornings.

Frost/freeze potential through Sunday morning

The wind turns out of the south this weekend, allowing us to warm right back up into the 70s for highs. Most rain showers will stay juuuuust to our west until Sunday night.

Forecast high temperatures for the weekend of 10/15 and 10/16/2022

That’s when our second and stronger cold front moves west to east.

Recent model data suggests less moisture than previously shown, meaning a few showers Sunday night into Monday morning.

Strong cold front moves into the area next week

The greatest blast of colder air comes in Tuesday, at which point high temperatures will only reach about 50 to 56° before falling to-or-below freezing by next Wednesday morning.

That’s about 15° below average for this time of year and is more of what you’d expect about a month from now.

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About the Author:

Meteorologist Chris Michaels is an American Meteorological Society (AMS) Certified Broadcaster, forecasting weather conditions in southwest Virginia on WSLS 10 News from 5 a.m. to 7 a.m. weekdays on Virginia Today.