BANGKOK – Shares climbed in Asia on Tuesday after Wall Street benchmarks clawed back some losses from their worst week since early December.
Stocks have come under selling pressure as analysts have raised forecasts for how high the Federal Reserve will take interest rates and how long it will keep them there to tame inflation that has failed to fall as much as expected given strong jobs growth and other signs of resilience in the economy.
“As we move into ‘Turnaround Tuesday,’ investors are debating whether January’s inflation reflation was just another temporary bump in the road as the economy adjusts to a post-pandemic world,” Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said in a report. “The post-pandemic era continues to deliver unusual macroeconomic patterns.”
Tokyo's Nikkei 225 index added 0.2% to 27,487.85 and the Kospi in Seoul advanced 0.9% to 2,424.89.
In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng gained 0.4% to 20,030.25 while the Shanghai Composite index edged 0.1% higher to 3,260.40. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.5% to 7,261.20.
Stocks have struggled in February after a strong start to the year. Robust economic data help calm fears that a recession may be imminent given the dampening impact of more costly borrowing on spending by consumers and businesses.
But they likely mean a longer spell of higher interest rates. The heightened expectations for rates have been most evident in the bond market, where yields have shot higher in recent weeks.
Earlier, analysts thought the Fed might soon ease back. Now the expectation is that it might raise rates above 5.25%. The Fed’s key overnight rate is now in a range of 4.50% to 4.75%, up from virtually zero at the start of last year.
On Monday, the S&P 500 rose 0.3% to 3,982.24 for just its second gain in the last seven days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.2%, to 32,889.09, while the Nasdaq composite climbed 0.6% to 11,466.98.
Shares of Union Pacific jumped 10.1% for one of the market’s biggest gains after the railroad announced plans to replace its CEO later this year. The company has been under pressure from a hedge fund with a big ownership stake in it.
The 10-year Treasury yield dipped to 3.92% from 3.95% late Friday. That yield helps set rates for mortgages and other important loans. The two-year yield, which moves more on expectations for the Fed, slipped to 4.79% from 4.81%. It’s near its highest level since 2007.
Yields eased after a report showed that orders for machinery, aircraft and other long-lasting manufactured goods fell by more than economists expected in January.
Even Monday’s weaker-than-expected report on durable goods had some underlying strength. After ignoring transportation-related equipment, orders jumped last month to the biggest gain since March, much stronger than the drop that economists expected to see.
Even with the worries about rates going higher than expected, the S&P 500 is still holding onto a gain of 3.7% for the year so far, and shoppers are still continuing to spend at stores. Both can add upward pressure on inflation.
Most companies have already reported their results for the last three months of 2022. Among the couple dozen companies in the S&P 500 still scheduled to report this week are Advance Auto Parts, Kroger and Target.
Overall, this earnings reporting season has been lackluster. Companies in the S&P 500 are on track to report their first drop in earnings per share from a year earlier since the summer of 2020, according to FactSet.
In other trading Tuesday, U.S. benchmark crude oil gained 24 cents to $75.91 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It shed 64 cents to $75.68 on Monday.
Brent crude, the pricing basis for international trading, picked up 17 cents to $82.21 per barrel.
The U.S. dollar rose to 136.29 Japanese yen from 136.20 yen. The euro slipped to $1.0593 from $1.0609.
AP Business Writer Stan Choe contributed.