Significant severe threat in the Deep South leads to more rain here Wednesday

This same storm produced more than 100 reports of severe weather Monday in the Southern Plains

ROANOKE, Va. – While the week’s weather started calmly here, it got off to a rocky start in the Southern Plains.

NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center shows there were two dozen (not all confirmed) reports of tornadoes, among many other reports of hail and wind Monday. Most of these were in the eastern half of Texas.

That same storm produces a high-end threat of severe weather in the Deep South Tuesday.

Severe weather potential for Tuesday, 3/22/2022

Meanwhile, the weather stays calm here with increasing clouds Tuesday. Despite that, temperatures will still make a run at the 60s and 70s.

High temperature forecast for Wednesday, 3/22/2022

It’s not until Wednesday morning around commute time that we start to see the rain from this storm.

FutureTracker - Wednesday morning

There’s plenty of wind surrounding this system, which is just one ingredient for severe weather. The other ingredient is instability (thunderstorm fuel), which allows the air to rise to its fullest potential. In this case, there’s not much instability to work with. Therefore, our severe weather threat is limited but not entirely zero Wednesday afternoon.

Regardless, we’ll see periods of rain continue with some heavy pockets near and east of the Blue Ridge Parkway through the evening.

FutureTracker - Wednesday afternoon

A few showers may linger into Thursday. Other than that, we’ll hold onto clouds for part of the day with highs reaching the 60s and 70s.

It’s not until Friday through Sunday that we see temperatures gradually trickle downward.

Upper air pattern by Sunday, 3/27/2022

Highs this coming weekend will only be in the 40s and 50s with a gusty wind at times and the chance for west-slope snow showers. There’s the chance for near-freezing temperatures Sunday and Monday mornings as well.

It’s best to hold off on planting, as cold snaps often continue into the month of April.

About the Author

Meteorologist Chris Michaels is an American Meteorological Society (AMS) Certified Broadcaster, forecasting weather conditions in southwest Virginia on WSLS 10 News from 5 a.m. to 7 a.m. weekdays on Virginia Today.

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