NOAA releases its highest-ever hurricane season forecast

The Atlantic basin is expected to produce an above average hurricane season this year

Starts June 1st

ROANOKE, Va. – The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has released its highest-ever initial hurricane season outlook. They are forecasting that this hurricane season has an 85% chance of being more active than normal years.

An above average season is expected

How does their forecast compare to others? Both CSU and NCSU are also forecasting an above-average hurricane season.

How does CSU and NCSU compare?

As we transition into a La Nina, the environment for tropical development becomes more favorable. The Atlantic is forecast to see below-average vertical wind shear, weaker easterly trade winds, and above-average sea surface temperatures, all of which favor hurricane development.

Warmer waters in the Atlantic

While it is still May, it is important to note that hurricane season begins on June 1 and ends on November 30.

Peaks in September

Here is a look at the list of names for this year’s hurricane season.

Tropical System Names

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About the Author

Parker was born and raised in central Florida. He first became interested in the weather at a young age when Hurricane Charlie passed directly over his house on August 13th, 2004. Since that day, he knew he wanted to be a Meteorologist.

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